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    What Are The Chances Of World War 3

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    These steps have caused some unrest within India and highlighted the long-standing tensions between Delhi and Islamabad. While this is unlikely, it could lead to terrorist attacks internationally or in Kashmir.

    Fundamental tensions at the heart of the US-North Korea relationship could result in combative action. Tensions between the two countries now stand as high as at any time since , and the impending US election could imperil relations further.

    However, this was not the case, but if the country did undertake a nuclear test, the US might be forced to intervene.

    A trade deal between the two countries would seem to alleviate some tensions but implementation remains in question. President Trump has long accused China of unfair trading practices and intellectual property theft, while in China, there is a perception that the US is endeavouring to curb its rise as a global economic power.

    At the same time, China has worked defiantly to assure its relations with Russia, while the US has sparked controversies with both South Korea and Japan, its two closest allies in the region.

    Donald Trump and President Xi have staked much of their political reputations on the trade situations in each country and therefore both have incentives for diplomatic and economic escalation.

    If the situation were to escalate, it could lead to military confrontation in areas such as the South or East China Seas.

    The tension has escalated amid the coronavirus pandemic, with Mr Trump accusing the country of engineering the fatal infection in a laboratory.

    Sign up for FREE now and never miss the top politics stories again. World War 3: Which locations are most likely for World War 3 to break out?

    Iran-Israel Tensions between Iran and Israel have been frustrated for a while with low-intensity warfare raging across the Middle East as a result.

    Kashmir In the past 10 years, the relationship between India and Pakistan has worsened, bringing the countries to the brink of war.

    Further domestic disturbances in India and Pakistan could lead to World War 3. He claims to have seen evidence corroborating the development of coronavirus from a Chinese lab.

    The fact there were no casualties in the Iranian strikes on US bases appears to have played a major part in the de-escalation. She said the aim was to deter Iran from conducting or supporting attacks and degrade its ability to conduct attacks.

    Sign up for FREE now and never miss the top politics stories again. What are the chances of World War 3 happening?

    Has WW3 started? Image: Getty. The four biggest conflicts in the world that could trigger war Image: Express.

    General Qassem Soleimani Image: Getty.

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    Image: Getty. The four biggest conflicts in the world that could trigger war Image: Express. General Qassem Soleimani Image: Getty.

    President Trump addresses the nation after Iran attacks Image: Getty. Iran Donald Trump World War 3. HuffPost has launched HuffPost-Apocalypse, a project that aims to investigate what an apocalypse would mean for humanity, and to support this, have been doing their own research and analysis in to what the effects of a nuclear war might be.

    In a recent article they proposed two scenarios. The first, a global nuclear war centered on a US and Russia conflict. In this scenario, at between 1, and 3, large warheads, would be fired at nuclear weapon launch sites, ports, major industry, command centers, power stations and densely populated areas.

    The other potential area of tension that could spark a conflict is between India and Pakistan. This scenario would be on a much smaller scale, with around smaller nuclear weapons being used out of stockpiles of around With strikes on densely populated super cities such as Delhi and Karachi.

    What would the fallout be? When these bombs are dropped, there would be intense nuclear radiation and a blinding flash brighter than the sun; a fierce fireball; and a massive blast wave that would kills thousands.

    With so many casualties, aid organizations would be overwhelmed and unable to help all of the injured. Meaning many would be left to fend for themselves with severe injuries including burns, broken bones, and deep cuts from flying debris.

    Exercises Grand Slam and Longstep were naval exercises held in the Mediterranean Sea during to practice dislodging an enemy occupying force and amphibious assault.

    It involved over warships and aircraft under the overall command of Admiral Robert B. The overall exercise commander, Admiral Carney summarized the accomplishments of Exercise Grand Slam by stating: "We have demonstrated that the senior commanders of all four powers can successfully take charge of a mixed task force and handle it effectively as a working unit.

    The Soviet Union called the exercises "war-like acts" by NATO, with particular reference to the participation of Norway and Denmark , and prepared for its own military maneuvers in the Soviet Zone.

    As the largest peacetime naval operation up to that time, Exercise Strikeback was characterized by military analyst Hanson W.

    The exercise was intended to ensure that NATO had the ability to quickly deploy forces to West Germany in the event of a conflict with the Warsaw Pact.

    Therefore, in the event of a Soviet invasion, in order not to resort to tactical nuclear strikes , NATO forces holding the line against a Warsaw Pact armored spearhead would have to be quickly resupplied and replaced.

    Most of this support would have come across the Atlantic from North America. Reforger was not merely a show of force—in the event of a conflict, it would be the actual plan to strengthen the NATO presence in Europe.

    In that instance, it would have been referred to as Operation Reforger. Seven Days to the River Rhine was a top-secret military simulation exercise developed in by the Warsaw Pact.

    It started with the assumption that NATO would launch a nuclear attack on the Vistula river valley in a first-strike scenario, which would result in as many as two million Polish civilian casualties.

    Individual Warsaw Pact states were only assigned their own subpart of the strategic picture; in this case, the Polish forces were only expected to go as far as Germany.

    The Seven Days to the Rhine plan envisioned that Poland and Germany would be largely destroyed by nuclear exchanges, and that large numbers of troops would die of radiation sickness.

    It was estimated that NATO would fire nuclear weapons behind the advancing Soviet lines to cut off their supply lines and thus blunt their advance.

    Newspapers speculated when this plan was declassified, that France and the UK were not to be hit in an effort to get them to withhold use of their own nuclear weapons.

    Exercise Able Archer was an annual exercise by the U. European Command that practised command and control procedures, with emphasis on the transition from solely conventional operations to chemical, nuclear, and conventional operations during a time of war.

    Able Archer exercises simulated a period of conflict escalation , culminating in a coordinated nuclear attack. The realistic nature of the exercise, coupled with deteriorating relations between the United States and the Soviet Union and the anticipated arrival of strategic Pershing II nuclear missiles in Europe, led some members of the Soviet Politburo and military to believe that Able Archer 83 was a ruse of war , obscuring preparations for a genuine nuclear first strike.

    President Ronald Reagan on 23 March Although he later believed in disarmament treaties slowly blunting the danger of nuclear weaponry by reducing their number and alert status, he also believed a technological solution might allow incoming ICBMs to be shot down, thus making the US invulnerable to a first strike.

    However, the USSR saw the SDI concept as a major threat, since a unilateral deployment of the system would allow the US to launch a massive first strike on the Soviet Union without any fear of retaliation.

    The SDI concept was to use ground-based and space-based systems to protect the United States from attack by strategic nuclear ballistic missiles.

    The initiative focused on strategic defense rather than the prior strategic offense doctrine of Mutual Assured Destruction MAD. In peacetime , the nuclear weapons stored in non-nuclear countries are guarded by US airmen though previously some artillery and missile systems were guarded by US Army soldiers; the codes required for detonating them are under American control.

    In case of war, the weapons are to be mounted on the participating countries' warplanes. As of [update] , tactical B61 nuclear bombs of the US nuclear weapons believed to be deployed in Europe fall under the nuclear sharing arrangement.

    With the initiation of the Cold War arms race in the s, an apocalyptic war between the United States and the Soviet Union became a real possibility.

    Many then believed that the conflict was likely to soon escalate into a full-scale war between the three countries, the US, the USSR, and China.

    The brilliant landings at Inchon and the cooperative efforts of the American armed forces with the United Nations Allies have won us a victory in Korea.

    But this is only the first battle in a major international struggle which now is engulfing the Far East and the entire world. The Berlin Crisis of was a political-military confrontation between the United States and the Soviet Union at Checkpoint Charlie with both a number of American and Soviet tanks and troops at stand off at each other only yards on either side of the checkpoint.

    The reason behind the confrontation was about the occupational status of the German capital city, Berlin , and of post—World War II Germany.

    The crisis culminated in the city's de facto partition with the East German erection of the Berlin Wall. This stand-off ended peacefully on 28 October following a US-Soviet understanding to withdraw tanks and reduce tensions.

    The Cuban Missile Crisis : a confrontation on the stationing of Soviet nuclear missiles in Cuba, in response to the failed Bay of Pigs Invasion , is considered as having been the closest to a nuclear exchange, which could have precipitated a Third World War.

    The crisis peaked on 27 October, with three separate major incidents occurring on the same day, all of these incidents having been initiated by the US military.

    Despite what many believe to be the closest the world has come to a nuclear conflict, throughout the entire standoff, the Doomsday Clock , which is run by the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists to estimate how close the end of the world, or doomsday, is, with midnight being the apocalypse, stayed at a relatively stable seven minutes to midnight.

    This has been explained as being due to the brevity of the crisis, since the clock monitored more long term factors such as leadership of countries, conflicts, wars, and political upheavals, as well as societies reactions to said factors.

    The Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists now credits the political developments resulting from the Cuban Missile Crisis with having actually enhanced global stability.

    The Bulletin posits that future crises and occasions that might otherwise escalate, were rendered as more stable due to two major factors:.

    The Sino-Soviet border conflict was a seven-month undeclared military conflict between the Soviet Union and China at the height of the Sino-Soviet split in The most serious of these border clashes, which brought the world's two largest communist states to the brink of war, occurred in March in the vicinity of Zhenbao Damansky Island on the Ussuri Wusuli River , near Manchuria.

    The conflict resulted in a ceasefire, with a return to the status quo. Critics point out that the Chinese attack on Zhenbao was to deter any potential future Soviet invasions; that by killing some Soviets, China demonstrated that it could not be 'bullied'; and that Mao wanted to teach them 'a bitter lesson'.

    China's relations with the USSR remained sour after the conflict, despite the border talks, which began in and continued inconclusively for a decade.

    Domestically, the threat of war caused by the border clashes inaugurated a new stage in the Cultural Revolution ; that of China's thorough militarization.

    Following the events of , the Soviet Union further increased its forces along the Sino-Soviet border , and in the Mongolian People's Republic. The Indo-Pakistani War of was a military confrontation between India and Pakistan that occurred during the liberation war in East Pakistan.

    The war began with preemptive aerial strikes on 11 Indian Air Force stations, which led to the commencement of hostilities with Pakistan and Indian entry into the war of independence in East Pakistan on the side of Bengali nationalist forces.

    The Soviet Union sympathised with the East Pakistanis, and supported the Indian Army and Mukti Bahini 's incursion against Pakistan during the war, in a broader view of recognising that the succession of East Pakistan as Independent Bangladesh would weaken the position of its rivals—the United States and China.

    The Soviet Union gave assurances to India that if a confrontation with the United States or China developed, it would take counter-measures. The United States stood with Pakistan by supporting it morally, politically, economically and materially when U.

    President Richard Nixon and his Secretary of State Henry Kissinger refused to use rhetoric in a hopeless attempt to intervene in a large civil war.

    The U. Nixon feared that an Indian invasion of Pakistan would mean total Soviet domination of the region, and that it would seriously undermine the global position of the United States and the regional position of America's new tactical ally, China.

    Nixon encouraged Jordan and Iran to send military supplies to Pakistan, while also encouraging China to increase its arms supplies to Pakistan, but all supplies were very limited.

    The Nixon administration also ignored reports it received of the "genocidal" activities of the Pakistani Armed Forces in East Pakistan, most notably the Blood telegram, and this prompted widespread criticism and condemnation—both by the United States Congress and in the international press.

    Then U. Ambassador to the United Nations , George H. Bush , introduced a resolution in the UN Security Council calling for a cease-fire and the withdrawal of armed forces by India and Pakistan.

    However, it was vetoed by the Soviet Union, and the following days witnessed the use of great pressure on the Soviets from the Nixon-Kissinger duo to get India to withdraw, but to no avail.

    Enterprise and its escort ships arrived on station on 11 December As the war progressed, it became apparent to the United States that India was going to invade and disintegrate Pakistan in a matter of weeks, therefore President Nixon spoke with the USSR General Secretary Leonid Brezhnev on a hotline on 10 December, where Nixon reportedly urged Brezhnev to restrain India as he quoted: "in the strongest possible terms to restrain India with which … you [Brezhnev] have great influence and for whose actions you must share responsibility.

    After the war, the United States accepted the new balance of power and recognised India as a dominant player in South Asia; the US immediately engaged in strengthening bilateral relations between the two countries in the successive years.

    The Soviet Union, while being sympathetic to Pakistan's loss, decided to engage with Pakistan after sending an invitation through Rodionov to Zulfikar Ali Bhutto, who paid a state visit to the Soviet Union in to strengthen bilateral relations that continued over the years.

    Israel successfully counterattacked. American and Soviet naval forces came close to firing upon each other. Admiral Murphy of the US reckoned the chances of the Soviet squadron attempting a first strike against his fleet at 40 percent.

    A GAO investigation led to the construction of an off-site test facility to prevent similar mistakes. A false alarm occurred on the Soviet nuclear early warning system , showing the launch of American LGM Minuteman intercontinental ballistic missiles from bases in the United States.

    A retaliatory attack was prevented by Stanislav Petrov , a Soviet Air Defence Forces officer, who realised the system had simply malfunctioned which was borne out by later investigations.

    During Able Archer 83 , a ten-day NATO exercise simulating a period of conflict escalation that culminated in a DEFCON 1 nuclear strike, some members of the Soviet Politburo and armed forces treated the events as a ruse of war concealing a genuine first strike.

    In response, the military prepared for a coordinated counter-attack by readying nuclear forces and placing air units stationed in the Warsaw Pact states of East Germany and Poland under high alert.

    However, the state of Soviet preparation for retaliation ceased upon completion of the Able Archer exercises. In response, Russian President Boris Yeltsin was summoned and the Cheget nuclear briefcase was activated for the first and only time.

    However, the high command was soon able to determine that the rocket was not entering Russian airspace, and promptly aborted plans for combat readiness and retaliation.

    It was retrospectively determined that, while the rocket scientists had informed thirty states including Russia about the test launch, the information had not reached Russian radar technicians.

    On 12 June , the day following the end of the Kosovo War , some Russian peacekeepers occupied the Pristina International Airport ahead of the arrival of NATO troops and were to secure the arrival of reinforcements by air.

    Still, such claims of a new "lower threshold of aggression," that might now be sufficient to qualify a war as a "World War" have not gained such widespread acceptance and support as the definitions of the first two world wars have received amongst historians.

    Masses of fighters on the back of pickup trucks and twisted souls plotting in apartments or garages pose an enormous danger to civilians and must be stopped.

    But they do not threaten our national existence. A New England Journal of Medicine overview found that "Although many people believe that the threat of a nuclear attack largely disappeared with the end of the Cold War, there is considerable evidence to the contrary.

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